Weekend Report: Cautious Optimism, a Monster TSLA Thesis, and the Setups I’m Watching

@upsidetrader — Week of May 26, 2026

Heading into next week, I’m cautiously optimistic — emphasis on cautiously. The tape has been constructive, but I’m not going to sit here and tell you it’s all clear when it isn’t. Iran/US tensions look like they’re moving in the wrong direction again, and certain corners of this market are stretched. When geopolitics can flip a headline at 2 am, you respect it.

That said, I’m not hiding under a rock either. There’s real opportunity here for traders who stay disciplined, size appropriately, and know what they own and why. This market rewards the prepared.

The Macro I’m Watching

Treasury rates remain my biggest macro concern. The 30-year is sitting above 5%, and the 10-year is at 4.55% — levels that matter. When long rates stay elevated, it puts pressure on valuations in rate-sensitive names and forces the market to keep justifying multiples on earnings alone. Keep this in the back of your mind as you size into anything extended. Also, so far this weekend, we are seeing more positive headlines out of the Mid-East situation.

My Biggest Conviction: TSLA

Let me be direct — $TSLA is my highest-conviction idea over the next three weeks. Very, very bullish. Someone bought June 460 call options last week, and that’s not noise. That’s someone with information, or at a minimum, conviction that a near-term catalyst is coming. I don’t know if it’s a product announcement, delivery numbers, or something else — but when smart money prints that kind of options paper, you pay attention.

I’m not chasing blindly, but $TSLA is on my radar every single day until that expiration. The risk/reward here is compelling if you manage your size.

Themes I’m Bullish on Into Year-End

Two themes I keep coming back to for the next several months: nuclear power stocks and space infrastructure. The AI data center buildout is as much a power story as it is a chip story, and nuclear is the only baseload solution that scales without the grid constraints solar and wind face. I’ll be sharing specific names as the setups develop.

On the space side, ASTS remains a name I’m watching closely. The satellite-to-phone direct connectivity story is real, and the stock has shown it can move when the narrative catches fire. More on this as we get into the week.

Setups on My Radar

Here’s what I’m watching as we head into next week and the weeks ahead. I’ll be adding names as the week develops — follow along on X @upsidetrader for real-time updates.

$NOW — ServiceNow. Enterprise AI spend, watching for continuation.

$OUST — Lidar play, setup, and developing.

$MRAM — Watching levels closely.

$TEM — AI in healthcare, emerging theme.

$ARXS — On radar, setup forming.

$AVAV — Defense/drone, geopolitical tailwind.

$CRWV — AI infrastructure, watching closely.

More names coming as the week opens. I’ll be active on X throughout the week with intraday alerts and updates.

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