The Morning Morsel-The Euro, a Currency Without a Country

It was a very tight range for most of the day until we failed late.

Following the U.S. markets’ worst May since 1940, the Standard & Poor’s 500 Index is trying to rally to start June.

The upturn follows a failed test of the S&P’s 200-day moving average last week, and all trends technically point lower until this area is reclaimed.

Advance-declines were 4 to 1 negative on the New York Stock Exchange, and about 5 to 1 negative on Nasdaq.

The financials (XLF) rolled over again and the oil service sector (OIH) continues to get decimated as the Deepwater Horizon disaster has taken $100 billion out of market capitalizations of the five key companies connected to the spill over the past six weeks. BP is clearly a disaster on all fronts and RIG is imploding.

Things look bleak on that front, we also have Korea, the Mid East and Europe to worry about. The wall of worry is getting slipperier by the day for the bills to climb and the bears are starting to feel empowered. Weak closes are never bullish, as it magnifies the reluctance of the bulls to step up and make a bid.

We could catch a technical bounce soon, that’s always a possibility, as the market is confused, any perceived piece of good news from anywhere could act as a short term catalyst. We still need to protect gains and adjust stops accordingly. The Macro picture is in shambles as the Euro remains a currency without a country and our greenback is the safe haven…go figure. We’re still the only game in town when global uncertainty comes to town.

Unemployment is a disaster and we are giving the term “jobless recovery” new definition. We’re finding out now that consumer spending may have been grossly overstated and here is an interesting piece on unemployment.

Many moving parts, and the politics of things has never mattered more in my 25 years of trading. I feel that the sins of our current and past administrations is catching up to us. Armageddon? Maybe, maybe not. We cannot thrive with zero job growth and our bloated debt. We can rally, we just can’t thrive.

How does Geihtner fly across the pond and pontificate fiscal discipline as we piss away money like a meth head at a keg party? Pain is coming here, it might not be tomorrow , but it’s coming.

We had some great shorts in SHLD and MCO on the Premium Site yesterday and we continue to navigate this market with precision. Stop on by.

Wednesday, June 02, 2010
07:30 US May Challenger Job Cuts
10:00 US April Pending Home Sales
16:30 US API Crude Oil/Gasoline/Distillate Inventories
08:00 FDA Antiviral Drugs Advisory Committee Meeting. BoA/Merrill Lynch Technology Conference. Sanford Bernstein Strategic Decisions Conference. May Auto Sales. BLUD Guidance Call. Same store sales after the close. SNDK Annual Meeting. 07:00 MBA Mortgage Applications. 08:55 Redbook Retail Sales. TSCO to replace OSIP in S&P400 index; HITK to replace TSCO in S&P600 after the close of trading. Trades Ex-dividend: FLR $0.125, KMB $0.66, PEP $0.48, SEE $0.12.
Before the Open: CSIQ, DAKT, LAYN, MDCI, ROLL, SCVL, UNFI. After the Close: APSG, CWTR, CYBX, DDMX, GEF, HOV.
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