The Wrap 11/3/09

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SPX TUESDAY
SPX TUESDAY

The market opened with a swoon lower, as you remember the futures were way down until Warren Buffet announced the $40 billion purchase of BNI. Keep in mind that the transportation sector (IYT) benefited greatly from this news and is a big weighting in the DOW and S&P, the market would have been down significantly today without Buffet’s move.

Tomorrow will be a very big day as Bernanke speaks and we will see if today’s Buffet event loses its impact. Remember Warren lost about 50 points after he took his stake in GS. The market has a short memory and will do what it does regardless.

The 1025 is the line in the sand, if we lose that tomorrow or this week you can count on lower prices, 1109 then 980. On the other side of the coin, any perceived good news tomorrow and the shorts could have a field day, however I do think it will be muted and have a short shelf life as the unemployment number on Friday will loom large.

If anyone took the UYM trade, congrats, it took nerve to buy it in the early morning with the dollar strong, but it worked out. There are no new names tonight in front of the Fed.

Have a great night and I will see you all tomorrow.

Wednesday, November 04, 2009

Economic
7:30am Oct Challenger Job Cuts y/y (last -30.2%)
8:15am Oct ADP Employment Change (last -254K)
10:00am Oct ISM Non-Manufacturing (last 50.9)
10:30am DoE Crude Oil/Gasoline/Distillate Inventories
2:15pm FOMC rate decision
Events
BoJ minutes. 8:00am FDA Orthopedic and Rehabilitation Devices Panel Meeting. World Energy Engineering Conference. Same-Store Sales after the close. MBA Mortgage Applications (7:00, last -12.3%). Trades Ex-dividend: INTC $0.14, BA $0.42, HST $0.25.
Earnings
Before the Open: AGU, ALVR, ABK, ASCA, WTR, ARJ, ATRC, ADP, FLY, BHI, BDX, BPI, LSE, CEDC, CKP, CBB, CWEI, CLH, CMCSA, CGX, CRTX, DVN, DTPI, RRD, EP, EPB, ENB, FWLT, GRMN, WOLF, HEES, HW, HSIC, HUN, IAG, IRC, IART, IFF, JMP, LINE, LIZ, LL, MMC, MSO, MXGL, MINI, TAP, TNDM, NEWS, ORCT, POL, PHM, RDN, SBGI, TRK, SUSS, TTES, NGLS, TKLC, TGH, TWX, TOT, RIG, TRW, TEL, WPI, WCG, WNS, XTO, ZBRA. After the Close: NDN, ALL, ALJ, DOX, AEL, AMMD, ARII, ANDE, AUTH, CELL, BRS, CECO, CSCO, COGO, CXW, CUZ, TRAK, DXCM, DCP, EGLE, EQY, ESLR, FRT, FGXI, FR, FCN, GHDX, ROCK, GIVN, GCA, GLBL, GCOM, GG, GDP, HVT, HCN, HT, HIL, NSIT, TEG, VTIV, IO, JCOM, KPPC, KNDL, LLNW, LMNX, MKL, MMLP, MEAS, MELI, MCHP, MFLX, MUR, N, NWSA, OIIM, ONNN, OSUR, ORA, VITA, PARL, PVA, PAA, PPO, PL, PRSC, PRU, QCOM, RJET, SGMO, SVNT, SCI, SMSI, SRX, SHO, THOR, THQI, TRMA, TTMI, UNTD, VTAL, WFMI.
Date Symbol Long Price Short Price Stop Action Result P/(L) Triggered
9-24-09
MCO 23.00 22.00 Covered 1/3

Covered 1/3

Stopped 1/3

+2.00

+4.30

+1.00

yes
MHP 26.19 26 Covered ½,stopped on balance flat +2.00 yes
NAV 40.31 39 Covered 1/3

Covered 1/3

Covered 1/3

+1.30

+3.00

+2.03

yes
QSFT 16.30 16 Sold ½, sold balance(10-13-9) +.80

+1.70

yes
SIGA 8.43 7.65 Stopped -.80 yes
MELA 10.50 9.50 Stopped -1.00 yes
9-28-09 COCO 17.29 18.25 Sold ½

Stopped 1/2

+1.00

-.90

yes
ZION 17.39 19.00 Stopped ½ flat yes
9-30-09 YGE 11.90 12.60 -.70 yes
VNO 63.00 65.50 flat yes
XCO 19.05 18.00 stopped -1.05 yes
MHGC 5.60 5.20 -.40 yes
10-1-09 CALI 6.35 5.50 stopped -.85 no
CENX 8.97 9.60 stopped +.50 yes
BAC 16.02 16.80 stopped -.78 yes
AAP 37.70 39.40 stopped -1.70 yes
10-05-09 EXC 47.78 50 stopped -2..22 yes
JEF 27.60 27.90 Sold 100% (10-13-9) +1.60 yes
TSPT 14.35 13.70 stopped -.65 yes
HIG 29.05 28.30 stopped -.75 yes
APT 6.25 6.00 stopped -.25 yes
10-7-9 FCX 73.43 73.00 Sold half(10-13-9)

Sold balance10-14-9

+1.78

+3.10

yes
10-10-9 PENN 25.67 26.20 stopped -.53 yes
NITE 23.00 22.40 stopped -.60 yes
O 22.85 24.00 yes
STEC 25.51 25.80 Covered 1/3

Covered 2/3

+1.00

+3.50

yes
ARST 23.59 24.00 Sold 1/3

Sold 1/3

+1.20

+2.20

yes
FIRE 23.43 22.50 stopped -1.90 yes
10-14-9 HRBN 19.72 19.30 stopped -.50 yes
UCTT 6.95 6.30 stopped -.65 yes
10-15-09 MS 33.35 33.00 Sold all +2.00
10-16-9 QSII 65.76 64.00 stopped -1.76 yes
ACI 24.22 23.20 stopped -1.02 yes
10-19-9 MEE 33.64 34.50 stopped -1.20 yes
BTU 42.35 42.50 sold +.20 yes
FSLR 146.80 152 stopped -5.00 yes
ABAX 23.86 25.00 Covered ½

Covered 1/2

+1.00

+1.00

yes
PPD 40.12 41.50 yes
MCO 23.14 25.50 no
10-22-9 MCRS 27.40 28.00 Covered 1/3 +1.30 yes
AMAG 35.10 35.90 yes
TNDM 22.92 23.40 Covered ½

Covered 1/4

+1.90

+2.30

yes
BAC 16.05 16.60 Covered 1/3

Covered 1/3

Covered 1/3

+.80

+1.00

+1.50

yes
VMI 75.70 76.70 Covered ½

Covered ¼

Covered balance

+3.00

+3.00

+4.00

yes
CMG 81.13 83.00 Stopped -1.87 yes
ROVI 28,09 29.00 yes
CCL 30.60 31.60 Covered 1/3 +1.30 yes
10-30-9 RTH 90.00 92.00 yes
ROST 43.76 44.83 Stopped -1.10 yes
NIHD 27.25 28.25 Covered 1/2 +1.90 yes
FWLT 28.12 29.00 Stopped -.88 yes
11-2-09 CYOU 29.00 29.80 Stopped .-80 yes
YGE 11.17 11.70 Stopped -50 yes
JLL 46.38 47.20 Sold 1/2 +1.30 yes
XHB 13.70 14.30 Stopped -.60 yes
WFC 27.40 28.20 yes
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